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Home » NFL Week 1 picks, plus Prisco's power rankings and big records that could get broken in 2022 – CBS Sports

NFL Week 1 picks, plus Prisco's power rankings and big records that could get broken in 2022 – CBS Sports

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Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the Pick Six newsletter!
I’m not sure how it happened, but we are now just two days away from an actual professional football game being played. In just over 48 hours, the Rams and Bills will be opening the 2021 NFL season with a game in Los Angeles, but before that happens, we have about 300 more season predictions to get through, so we better get started.  
For today, we have the return of Pete Prisco’s Power Rankings, and in what might be the biggest surprise, he doesn’t have the defending Super Bowl champs ranked as his top team. Also coming today, I’ll be unveiling my picks for Week 1, and in what is not a surprise at all, I’m picking the Bengals to win. That’s what happens when you let a Bengals homer make NFL picks. Alright, let’s get to the rundown.  
Actually, before we get to the rundown, here’s a quick reminder to anyone who missed yesterday’s newsletter. For our Labor Day edition, we predicted the final record for all 32 teams and you can check that out by clicking here. Alright, now let’s really get to the rundown. 
As always, here’s your weekly reminder to tell all your friends to sign up for the Pick Six newsletter. To get your friends to sign up, all you have to do is click here and then share this link with them. 
During the NFL offseason, we like to spice things up each week on the Pick Six Podcast by adding a listener mailbag every Monday. As everyone knows, though, the mailman doesn’t deliver on Labor Day, so we couldn’t do a mailbag yesterday, which is why you’re getting our final Monday mailbag of the offseason on a Tuesday. 
Anyway, our mailbag episodes are pretty simple: We read listener questions during the show and then answer as many of those questions as possible. Questions can be about literally anything. I mean, I’m pretty sure someone once asked us if one-ply toilet paper is actually worse than two-ply. (The answer to that is definitely yes.) If we’ll answer that, trust me when I say that we’ll answer almost anything. 
Anyway, if you want to submit a question, all you have to do is go to Apple Podcasts (click here) and leave a five-star review that includes your question. 
Here’s one question that Ryan Wilson, Will Brinson and I answered for today’s show. 
Q: If the Bills make it to the Super Bowl and lose, would the season be considered a success or failure?! What about a loss in the AFC Championship?
Since the Bills are playing this week and since they’re also viewed as the Super Bowl favorite in Vegas, we decided that right now was the perfect time to answer this question. 
The Bills haven’t been to a Super Bowl in 29 years, so if they end up making it that far, then I think they’d have to consider the season a success whether they win or lose the game. Unless you’re an unstoppable dynasty — like the Patriots were for nearly 20 years — any trip to the Super Bowl should be considered a successful season. That being said, if the Bills do make it to the Super Bowl and end up losing on a last-second field goal that misses wide right, then I might have to reassess everything I just said about the season being a success. 
As for an AFC title game appearance, if they get that far and don’t win, I think you would have to call the season a failure. The Bills have arguably the best roster in the AFC, they’re the favorite to get to the Super Bowl and they’ve already been to an AFC title game under Sean McDermott. If they get back and lose, it’s going to leave a sour taste in everyone’s mouth, especially if that loss is to the Chiefs
If you want to listen to the rest of the mailbag, be sure to click here. You can also watch today’s episode on YouTube by clicking here.
After spending the entire NFL offseason on a vacation where no one was allowed to contact him, Pete Prisco has finally returned to civilization this week just in time for start of the NFL season and just in time to unveil his first power rankings of the season. 
Here’s a look at Prisco’s top five teams heading into Week 1, and in a surprise, the defending Super Bowl champions are NOT at the top:
I’m not going to spoil the rest of the power rankings here, but I am going to give you a few nuggets. Here’s what has changed since Prisco’s last power rankings, which came out in early May after the draft ended. 
If you want to know where your favorite team ended up in Prisco’s Week 1 Power Rankings, be sure to click here. If you want to argue with Prisco over his rankings, you can do that on Twitter by clicking here. I argue with him all the time about everything. 
If it’s Tuesday, that can only mean one thing: It’s time for my weekly picks. 
If this is your first season with us, here’s how the formula works around here: I stay up until an insane hour every Monday night so that I can give you my picks every Tuesday morning. The newsletter will feature three of my picks, and then if you feel like reading the rest of them, you can click through here and check them out. I get paid 7.3 cents every time someone clicks through, so I encourage you to click through early and often. 
With that in mind, here are three of my main picks for the week, starting with the NFL opener on Thursday:  
To check out the rest of my picks for Week 1, be sure to click here
Every season in the NFL, we see multiple records get broken, and this season won’t be any different. Our Jeff Kerr spent the weekend hunkered down in his man cave so that he could find all the records that might get broken this year. 
Here’s a list of five records that made Kerr’s list: 
To check out the full list of records that could be broken this year, be sure to click here
It’s hard to imagine just one player shifting the balance of an entire division, but that could happen this year, at least according to CBSSports.com’s Jordan Dajani, who went through each NFL division to find the player who could have the biggest impact. 
Here’s a look at the players from the AFC who could shift the balance of power: 
To check out the players on the NFC side of Jordan’s list, be sure to click here.  
It’s been a busy 24 hours in the NFL, and since it’s nearly impossible to keep track of everything that happened, I went ahead and put together a roundup for you. 
Make picks for your chance to win guaranteed weekly and season prizes, plus the $100K jackpot.
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